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      1. ˎWԺWģǨWĸc`Փ

        rg2024-09-16 16:22:49 tˎW ҪͶ

        ˎWԺWģǨWĸc`Փ

        ժҪ:˿˷šԺУIAnnrٵìьIAnDAWЙCWWČݏՓnзxЙCγɡģKĻWnwϵW؏ͲĬFγɵġģKУ°ࡱMԇcWӅӌnĬFʧˣӅcR̈́RõߣFJõ

        ˎWԺWģǨWĸc`Փ

        PI~:W̌Wĸ;ģK;Wn;_n

        WAntˎԺУW޵ČIAnWǻWAnҪĽ̌Whͨ^ֱ^ČF󲻃HBWܺ^졢}lWWdȤ߀܎WՓ֪RߌWՓ“ϵḦ́˼SnjWúmI֪Rn̵ıC

        1šԺW̌WF

        ڸšԺУWƶ̡ñݶˎWԺУĻWǸIW회WČIAnԾʹ:1.1IAnnrڸߵšIԺУе:Ծ͘I錧BccaڄӺ`YϵkWģʽӌIOnǑWݺͽ̌Wĸ錣IAnWAnnrͲɱرsىsУĻWAnoՓˎûAWЙCWW^݆˲Bnrs˲@ӾͳFnrٶñݶì

        1.2IAnڸĸϵ

        ߵšIn̸ĸϛ]@׃AWЙCW߀DzfĽ̌Wģʽ̎nv⌍ԭ򞲽EWώҪMв߀Փn֮󣬛]ЌTĿWӌֻǞ΄ңTWAnČԳwϵڃxҲ]cInܺ㕽

        1.3W̌WF

        ڌIcȫУЌI_O˻WAnеĻWAn̶ڵһW˾ͳF†}:(1)WrcWƽ̎˔W˔cDìʹò֌ITWAnͬr_OՓn߀]WrѽMWڌr]Փ֧ΣڞʲôĿģԭһ֪^ֻǰ̎Ҫ󰴲Ͱز;(2)ͬWnČݕͬЩ؏ͲЩݾλYԴnrM;(3)Փn]ЌTĿƶȣWӅcRֻǞ΄˼cՓ֪RY;(4)˿]ȫУȫУа༉Čݻͬ@ҲˌϲcInܺúӣЩڌInr߀Ҫa侚ɻܵòܺӖBòܺwF@ӵČܺܺõBWӅcRWĄBW˼SҲʹWJRF꠺Ҫ

        2W̌Wĸ˼·

        ӲpٌWrp|̶޵nr׌WWHõ֪RͼõϵyCϵļӖ?Ӳͨ^׌WՌĿ?Ӳ׌W\Փ֪RጌгFĬF?_B˼SĿ_չˌ̌WĸݴWؿУSusanEKegley:ڃݵģKģʽxȡchWP5ģKÿģKҪW34ܵĕrgͨ^оһضĭh}ڽQ}^WPW֪R͌򞼼ܣ1‡ЌWAξͰѻWnҕ}Č̌WӖWĻW򞼼n̵ҪĿ֮һ2ȶcУҲ1995_ʼȺ󌦻W̌WMиĸ㽭W1995_ʼW̌WM˸ĸͨ^ꌍ`ĴwϵĻWMкϲؽMFѳҊЧ3BTWҲ1999ꆢ˱ƻW̌WĸĿnwϵMиĸȡһijЧ4ᘌڵı׶ڌnIJ`JRW܏ՓзxTWԡsۡϡγɡģKWnģKл֪RcͻɣcIn֪Rcкܺú;ͬIWxͬġģKݣѻWՓзxΪ_nΪˣԌ^Mȫ̱Oͨ^ģKnMлW򞣬߀{ҲxO؏ُʹҹҎ

        3W򞡰ģKn̘

        ՌWFЌIcᘌ˲BҪ󣬰ѻAWЙCWͷWݡAW򞡱IW򞡱͡C_ŻW򞡱OӋģKģKBWČ`˼SIͻIcƌW؃ϻWñݣAWW໥B͸ġģKWṇ׃ԭ팍ncՓn֮ĬFγɪĻWnmČIӖ»A

        3.1AWݵĘ

        ԓģKҪ˻֪Rcͻܵȃ硰ƽʹúxУԇĘ˶cơЧλ_ȣ׌W˽ⲢջWĻҪIҲһЩεЙC硰ЙCϳbõRecεЙC򞣬硰s׌WwЙCČԭϳɌbõĴWͨ^˽⻯W򞳣Ãx_ʹøNÃxMЌ錣IMд»AԓģKȫУЌIá

        3.2IWݵĘ

        Wͨ^AWČxõԇЙCϳbһJRڶAΰIcM댣IWIJԓģKČݼ얹̻ܡڴ˻AǞmČIn»AʹڌInҪČҪI܉쾚_زڃϱѭuMcmČIn̺ܺúӣIҪͬIиԵČIc绯WˎˎIҪˎϳɵȞ錣Ic԰˻WϳҪյČ硰ɫVgεĹwˎϳɣ硰ƂؽYccyҺwĺϳ硰ĺϳs۹ʵĜyͨ^ʹW˽˹wˎĺϳἃҺwĺϳcἃջϳɵĺβg̎ĜyˎƷzyʳƷzyIҪˎɷݷˎﺬ錣Ic԰ԷzyČݣ硰ϴ·лԽMcAȵĜy՚мȩwĜy׾ҴĜyȌ׌WIJͬǶ˽Ⲣˎķ

        3.3C_Ō

        ÿIČIģK󶼰˃ɂC_Ōڿ]WӴεIJ֪ͬRҪҲͬЩW؄edȤ԰˾C_ŌWˎI硰˾ƥֺϳbcyˎˎWI硰Ƥ㾫͵ȡcbzyI硰~΢ԪصbcyȌWǰĻA͌IxĶ׌W얹ߌܵĻA\ûA򞼼ܺͻ򞷽MоCό߄̈́˼S

        4W̌Wģʽĸĸ

        ڌnMиĸڽ̌WģʽҲMиĸǰьՓnÓxΪ_nΪǸ׃ԭώv⌍ԭ׌W֌ĬF󣬶׌W}MЌwĸĸ﷽:

        4.1ÓxՓnΪ_nΪ

        ьՓnзx_n˱ҪĴV̌WӋĽ̲߀ҪһĿƶȡڌn̵ĿĿǙzcWЧM̌Wݵ̌WĸMM|˲ŵBͬrƶҲWMWMWҕЧ;5˽ƿƶWƽrČ͌W^̾ʮע|˼SBҲWɡWԇ򡰌W˼¡|ߡD׃Ҫ󌦌ȫ^MпYČ̌WĸNFOӋ1鿼˘˜Wn̳ɿ(100)=k1ni=1(΂ɿ)i/n+k2ԇɿʽn錍򞿂k1k2ϵk1=0.70.8k2=0.20.3΂ַ֞:һǻӖ͌I򞣬ڶnjIC_Ō6

        4.2PBĽWڻW̌W

        񽛌WBarrowsᘌy̌Wֻμ֪RҕWBı׶1969ˡԆ}AČWĽģʽ7ݡcՓnxnЕՓ֪RհcڌǰcPՓ֪Rc͌ҪIȆ}׌WڌǰвYԌW}M댍ңώoŪÿ}MЌ@ӌWdȤõߣWXԵõͨ^򞲻HBˌWĄҲBˌWԌWͪ˼

        4.3MʽĽ̌Wģʽ

        ǎ}WWԼYнQдڵĆ}rycԌWڽQ˵y}҂ÿ򞶼˲ҕlWǰAÿ༉cώQQȺ΢ȺWy}rԼr̎ՈrQy}yʹn܉Mͨ^@ӵČ̌WWԌWõF꠺õAX˼õõBͬrҲQ˸šԺУnrϵyMЌa򞲻λԭȱ

        5̌Wĸ`cЧ

        5.1ĸ`

        W򞡰ģKݽ^һľD15ˎzy°MԇcաAW򞡱IW򞡱͡C_Ō򞡱MЌ̌Wͨ^ǰAεČWҺܡζƽȵIJҪIW˘˜Һc˶˜ʴ_^쌍F󼰵ζKcД༼ʹĴζzyˎﺬɷҲWûWzyĻW}ˎzyIҪČܺͼľCό׌WһˎƂ䵽bČWܑ֮ǰWČ򞼼ܺͼƂˎ֮aƷW˽Yἃɣϳɵˎﰢ˾ƥֲHaҺҲ_80%AM

        5.2Ч

        ͨ^W򞡰ģǨWģʽČ`WČWeO˴nǰҪ˽´ΌăԱÌǰAĆ}Ոÿ򞶼JĩYW˼SSw@ӵČ̌Woի@ͨ^WˑÌI֪RQH}ķ}˼ȫđBȸӇ֔ĥҲչ֪RͬrҲYˌz硰Щ֪Rc߀Ǜ]֪Ȼ֪Ȼ߀]кܺա횺ܺÿYЈF꠺ҪԡJR򞲻ҪֲҪڌНBԼ˼ԓWڅ㽭ʡIِ@FwȪ͂Ȫĺóɿ˰ѻWՓзxIcMСģKΪ_nʹݸӾãQnrcñݶìĶ_pnrp̌W|ĿͬrҲԸ׃WӅcӅӵĠrlWWdȤBWc̽ȻBWĄ̈́˼SWĈF꠺MW̌W¸ĸlչ

        īI

        1ݲܜYꐲx.]һNW̌WģʽJ.оc̽200726(3):107109.

        2݄.‡ȫЌWWn̵ĿcݣJ.^о2003(2):5760.

        3ȺWh.㽭WWĵĸĸclչJ.򞼼gc200320(6):151154.

        4ݏ쁆s.OFĻW̌WʾģJ.оc̽200625(7):817821.

        5ݲܑc.AW̌Wĸ̽c`J.оc̽200423(4):79.

        6~t.šߌWĸ﷽̽ӑJ.ƌWcg20108(4):8789.

        7ݲܷf߅t.PBĽW\ՄW̌WĸJ.Уҹо2011(3):4849.

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